2018 Grammy Predictions

Another year, another Grammys, but this is going to be one of the most interesting ones yet! Following his wife last year, Jay-Z leads the pack with 8, but the question remains whether he will be the night’s biggest victor. Who stands in his way? Only Kendrick Lamar, who could just as easily take most of their head-to-heads. Regardless, this is shaping up to be an exciting year, so let’s make some predictions!


RECORD OF THE YEAR

Nominees

  • “Redbone” Childish Gambino
  • “Despacito” Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee featuring Justin Bieber
  • “The Story Of O.J.” Jay-Z
  • “Humble” Kendrick Lamar
  • “24K Magic” Bruno Mars

HumbleWho Should Win?

“Humble” – Kendrick’s first major solo commercial juggernaut was one of last year’s biggest and most important moments, and this award would really solidify its significance.

Humble

Who Will Win?

“Humble” – I’m not sure the Grammys are going to get away with, yet again, snubbing Kendrick from a well-deserved major award, and this is the most likely of the two he’s up for.

DespacitoThe Darkhorse?

“Despacito” – It’s sad to say, but the Grammys do like to capitalize on a major success like this. Despite being the least-deserving nominee, there’s no doubt that its mass appeal carries some weight.


ALBUM OF THE YEAR

Nominees

  • Awaken, My Love! Childish Gambino
  • 4:44 Jay-Z
  • DAMN. Kendrick Lamar
  • Melodrama Lorde
  • 24K Magic Bruno Mars

MelodramaWho Should Win?

Melodrama – This is an insanely tight list of nominees, but Lorde’s sophomore effort is an absolute herald and leads the pack in terms of overall deservingness. While Jay and Kendrick certainly made incredible albums last year, they’ve made better.

444Who Will Win?

4:44 – It makes sense for the Grammys to split the difference between Jay-Z and Kendrick on the night’s two biggest awards. I’m thinking K Dot will take Record and Jay will take album.

DamnThe Darkhorse?

DAMN. – This really could end up being Kendrick’s night (finally,) so he’s definitely still in the mix.


SONG OF THE YEAR

Nominees

  • “Despacito” (Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee featuring Justin Bieber) Ramón Ayala Rodriguez, Justin Bieber, Jason Boyd, Erika Ender, Luis Fonsi, and Marty James Garton Jr.
  • “4:44” (Jay-Z) Jay-Z and Dion Wilson
  • “Issues” (Julia Michaels) Benjamin Levin, Mikkel Storleer Eriksen, Tor Erik Hermansen, Julia Michaels, and Justin Drew Tranter
  • “1-800-273-8255” (Logic featuring Alessia Cara and Khalid) Alessia Caracciolo, Sir Robert Bryson Hall II, Arjun Ivatury, Khalid Robinson, and Andrew Taggart
  • “That’s What I Like” (Bruno Mars) Christopher Brody Brown, James Fauntleroy, Philip Lawrence, Bruno Mars, Ray Charles McCullough II, Jeremy Reeves, Ray Romulus, and Jonathan Yip

444

Who Should Win?

“4:44” – Overall, this is a pretty bland shortlist, but Jay-Z’s track really sticks out in terms of songwriting.

1-800Who Will Win?

“1-800-273-8255” – This is the perfect opportunity for a little social consciousness without being divisive. Plus, with three huge stars-on-the-rise all winning at once, it would be a great moment.

Despacito

The Darkhorse?

“Despacito” – Again, sadly “Despacito” is very much in the mix and could very easily be the night’s big victor.


BEST NEW ARTIST

Nominees

  • Alessia Cara
  • Khalid
  • Lil Uzi Vert
  • Julia Michaels
  • SZA

CtrlWho Should Win?

SZA – While she has some serious talent as her competition, SZA is the most exciting on the list. It’s looking like she is going to have a massive career ahead of her.

Ctrl

Who Will Win?

SZA – It’s a tight race, but she does seem to be the favorite. Of course that means nothing in Grammy World. Still, it does feel right.

American TeenThe Darkhorse?

Khalid – I’m going with Khalid as a possible winner here, but Alessia Cara could just as easily take home the award.


BEST POP SOLO PERFORMANCE

Nominees

  • “Love So Soft” Kelly Clarkson
  • “Praying” Kesha
  • “Million Reasons” Lady Gaga
  • “What About Us” Pink
  • “Shape Of You” Ed Sheeran

PrayingWho Should Win?

“Praying” – Kesha’s long-awaited comeback hit was not only an incredible statement piece, but it was the kind of renaissance most pop stars could even dream of achieving.

Million ReasonsWho Will Win?

“Million Reasons” – Lady Gaga is, generally speaking, a Grammy favorite. This is her most obvious shot at an award this year, and the song definitely deserves it.

Praying

The Darkhorse?

“Praying” – You never know who the overall favorite is going to be in any category, and Kesha could easily be just that.


BEST POP DUO/GROUP PERFORMANCE

Nominees

  • “Something Just Like This” The Chainsmokers and Coldplay
  • “Despacito” Luis Fonsi and Daddy Yankee featuring Justin Bieber
  • “Thunder” Imagine Dragons
  • “Feel It Still” Portugal. The Man
  • “Stay” Zedd and Alessia Cara

Feel It StillWho Should Win?

“Feel It Still” – Overall, this is a pretty bland list of nominees, but at least Portugal. The Man’s transition from indie heroes to pop stars would be complete with a win here.

Despacito

Who Will Win?

“Despacito” – This one just feels like a gimme. It would be a total shock to see another song win with the kind of attention it’s been given this year.

ThunderThe Darkhorse?

“Thunder” – The Grammys do love Imagine Dragons, so they could be the ones to play spoiler.


BEST POP VOCAL ALBUM

Nominees

  • Kaleidoscope EP Coldplay
  • Lust For Life Lana Del Rey
  • Evolve Imagine Dragons
  • Rainbow Kesha
  • Joanne Lady Gaga
  • ÷ Ed Sheeran

Lust For LifeWho Should Win?

Lust For Life – Lana Del Rey definitely deserves this award, even with such stiff competition. It might not be as big of an occasion, but the quality is the best.

RainbowWho Will Win?

Rainbow – I’m thinking Kesha is going to have her moment here, especially if she doesn’t get it elsewhere. It would definitely be wrong to send her home empty handed.

JoanneThe Darkhorse?

Joanne Well, quite frankly Lady Gaga could easily squash the competition in the category this year.


BEST DANCE/ELECTRIC ALBUM

Nominees

  • Migration Bonobo
  • 3-D The Catalogue Kraftwerk
  • Mura Masa Mura Masa
  • A Moment Apart Odesza
  • What Now Sylvan Esso

What NowWho Should Win?

What Now – Sylvan Esso’s second album is such a creative approach to Dance/Electronic music (as the Grammys put it,) with its pop sensibilities and folky, rhythmic undertones. Sadly, it’s likely not in the running.

Mura MasaWho Will Win?

Mura Masa – Newcomer Mura Masa’s debut album is an easy choice here. Not only did it have plenty of critical backing, but some commercial success as well.

3DThe Darkhorse?

3-D The Catalogue – It seems like a stretch, but the Grammys do tend to favor legends.


BEST ROCK PERFORMANCE

Nominees

  • “You Want It Darker” Leonard Cohen
  • “The Promise” Chris Cornell
  • “Run” Foo Fighters
  • “No Good” Kaleo
  • “Go To War” Nothing More

RunWho Should Win?

“Run” – The Foo Fighters have consistently delivered, and with a somewhat bland list of competitors , their track does stand out.

PromiseWho Will Win?

“The Promise” – There weren’t too many “In Memoriam” nominees this year, so it seems fair to assume that Chris Cornell would be their big opportunity.

You Want It DarkerThe Darkhorse?

“You Want It Darker” – For similar reasoning as “The Promise,” but mostly because of the Grammys’ love for legends of Leonard Cohen’s caliber.


BEST ROCK ALBUM

Nominees

  • Emperor Of Sand Mastodon
  • Hardwired… To Self-Destruct Metallica
  • The Stories We Tell Ourselves Nothing More
  • Villains Queens Of The Stone Age
  • A Deeper Understanding The War On Drugs

Deeper UnderstandingWho Should Win?

A Deeper Understanding – Not only is the album the clear outlier of the pack, it’s also the most relevant.

VillainsWho Will Win?

Villains – For no other reason than being a safe bet, Queens Of The Stone Age will probably go home with the award.

Deeper Understanding

The Darkhorse?

A Deeper Understanding – It’s not out of the question that The War On Drugs will actually get their due, however.


BEST ALTERNATIVE MUSIC ALBUM

Nominees

  • Everything Now Arcade Fire
  • Humanz Gorillaz
  • American Dream LCD Soundsystem
  • Pure Comedy Father John Misty
  • Sleep Well Beast The National

American DreamWho Should Win?

American Dream  – Yet again, the Alternative category completely outshines the Rock category. Every album could easily walk away with the prize and deserve it, but LCD Soundsystem’s comeback record is objectively the best.

American Dream

Who Will Win?

American Dream – For the same reasons that it deserves to win, the album actually probably will.

Pure ComedyThe Darkhorse?

Pure Comedy – It makes sense for the Grammys to embrace an artist like Father John Misty, so he could certainly play spoiler.


BEST R&B PERFORMANCE

Nominees

  • “Get You” Daniel Caesar featuring Kali Uchis
  • “Distraction” Kehlani
  • “High” Ledisi
  • “That’s What I Like” Bruno Mars
  • “The Weekend” SZA

Get YouWho Should Win?

“Get You” – Daniel Caesar made a good name for himself this past year, and deservingly so.

Get You

Who Will Win?

“Get You” – You could make an argument for any of the nominees, but “Get You” feels like the best fit.

That's What I LikeThe Darkhorse?

“That’s What I Like” – Bruno Mars has plenty of nominations this year, but not a ton of victory opportunities. If he’s going to win somewhere, the R&B categories are likely it.


BEST R&B SONG

Nominees

  • “First Began” (PJ Morton) PJ Morton
  • “Location” (Khalid) Alfredo Gonzalez, Olatunji Ige, Samuel David Jiminez, Christopher McClenney, Khalid Robinson, and Joshua Scruggs
  • “Redbone” (Childish Gambino) Donald Glover and Ludwig Goransson
  • “Supermodel” (SZA) Tyran Donaldson, Terrence Henderson, Greg Landfair Jr., Carter Lang, and Solana Rowe
  • “That’s What I Like” (Bruno Mars) Christopher Brody Brown, James Fauntleroy, Philip Lawrence, Bruno Mars, Ray Charles McCullough II, Jeremy Reeves, Ray Romulus, and Jonathan Yip

Awaken My LoveWho Should Win?

“Redbone” – Childish and all of his nominations was definitely the biggest shocker of the year, albeit a pleasant one. “Redbone” a phenomenal song and deserves the recognition it’s getting.

Awaken My Love

Who Will Win?

“Redbone” – This is where Childish Gambino will actually get his Grammy. It’s not likely he’ll be playing spoiler in the major categories.

LocationThe Darkhorse?

“Location” – Newcomer Khalid certainly could be a deserving victor for his breakthrough hit, though.


BEST URBAN CONTEMPORARY ALBUM

Nominees

  • Free 6lack 6lack
  • Awaken, My Love! Childish Gambino
  • American Teen Khalid
  • Ctrl SZA
  • Starboy The Weeknd

Ctrl

Who Should Win?

Ctrl – SZA has a good number of nominations, but not a ton of opportunity to win. Of all the nominees here, however, her debut effort is the most deserving.

Awaken My Love

Who Will Win?

Awaken, My Love! – Childish Gambino clearly caught the Academy’s eyes, so it would make sense that he’ll take the R&B category in lieu of the major ones.

American Teen

The Darkhorse?

American Teen – Again, Khalid could be an actual favorite at the Grammys this year.


BEST RAP PERFORMANCE

Nominees

  • “Bounce Back” Big Sean
  • “Bodak Yellow” Cardi B
  • “4:44” Jay-Z
  • Humble” Kendrick Lamar
  • “Bad and Boujee” Migos featuring Lil Uzi Vert

444

Who Should Win?

“4:44” – The rap categories are all about Jay vs. Kendrick. Based simply on performance, the title track to Jay-Z’s acclaimed 4:44 should win out.

Bodak YellowWho Will Win?

“Bodak Yellow” – It’s almost too obvious that either Kendrick Lamar or Jay-Z would win. Newcomer Cardi B is in the perfect position to play spoiler with her landmark hit.

Humble

The Darkhorse?

“Humble” – If Kendrick is left out of the major categories, I wouldn’t be surprised if he swept the Rap ones.


BEST RAP SONG

Nominees

  • “Bodak Yellow” (Cardi B) Belcalis Almanzar, Dieuson Octave, Klenord Raphael, Shaftizm, Jordan Thorpe, and J White
  • “Chase Me” (Danger Mouse featuring Run The Jewels and Big Boi) Judah Bauer, Brian Burton, Hector Delgado, Jaime Meline, Antwan Patton, Michael Render, Russell Simins, and John Spencer
  • “Humble” (Kendrick Lamar) K. Duckworth, Asheton Hogan, and M. Williams II
  • “Sassy” (Rapsody) Marlanna Evans, E. Gabouer, Jason Martin, and Wyann Vaughn
  • “The Story Of O.J.” (Jay-Z) Shawn Carter and Dion Wilson

Humble

Who Should Win?

“Humble” – In round two of J vs. K, Lamar wins. “Humble” is the clear front-runner from a song-writing perspective.

Humble

Who Will Win?

“Humble” – I think regardless of how he fairs elsewhere, this one indeed headed to K Dot.

444

The Darkhorse?

“The Story Of O.J.” – Although, the entire argument could be flip flopped in favor of Jay-Z.


BEST RAP ALBUM

Nominees

  • 4:44 Jay-Z
  • DAMN. Kendrick Lamar
  • Culture Migos
  • Laila’s Wisdom Rapsody
  • Flower Boy Tyler, The Creator

Damn

Who Should Win?

DAMN. – It’s definitely a tough call, but Kendrick’s album edges out 4:44 (and Flower Boy, in all fairness) just slightly.

Damn

Who Will Win?

DAMN. – Just based on commerciality, I think that DAMN. will win this one.

444

The Darkhorse?

4:44 – It is absolutely anyone’s guess just how they’re going to handle this epic head-to-head, especially considering the sheer number of them.


BEST COUNTRY SONG

Nominees

  • “Better Man” (Little Big Town) Taylor Swift
  • “Body Like A Back Road” (Sam Hunt) Zach Crowell, Sam Hunt, Shane McAnally, and Josh Osborne
  • “Broken Halos” (Chris Stapleton) Mike Henderson and Chris Stapleton
  • “Drinkin’ Problem” (Midland) Jess Carson, Cameron Duddy, Shane McAnally, Josh Osborne, and Mark Wystrach
  • “Tin Man” (Miranda Lambert) Jack Ingram, Miranda Lambert, and Jon Randall

From A RoomWho Should Win?

“Broken Halos” – Chris Stapleton is a different breed of country artist, and he deserves all of the attention he gets for it.

Better ManWho Will Win?

“Better Man” – Heaven forbid the Grammys would ever pass up the opportunity to give Taylor Swift an award.

From A Room

The Darkhorse?

“Broken Halos” – Chris Stapleton could just as easily be the favorite here.


 

BEST COUNTRY ALBUM

Nominees

  • Cosmic Hallelujah Kenny Chesney
  • Heart Break Lady Antebellum
  • The Breaker Little Big Town
  • Life Changes Thomas Rhett
  • From A Room: Volume 1 Chris Stapleton

From A Room

Who Should Win?

From A Room: Volume 1 – Chis Stapleton’s album is without a doubt the best of the bunch.

From A Room

Who Will Win?

From A Room: Volume 1 – …and he’s also the frontrunner.

Breaker

The Darkhorse?

The Breaker – Little Big Town seem like a safe choice.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s