The Rock and Roll Hall of Fame may not be perfect, but it is currently the only measurable plateau for legends to be immortalized for their contributions to music. Rock and roll started out as very specific genre, but has been stretched and twisted and infused and dissected to the point where the list of inductees highlights every sub-genre from blues to jazz to soul to dance to hip hop to country to metal to everything in between and around. Every year since its inception in 1986, the Hall of Fame welcomes around 5 (give or take) acts to its ranks, in addition to early influences (artists that pre-dated rock and roll,) sidemen, and non-performers (songwriters, engineers, producers, disc jockeys, etc.) While it isn’t perfectly clear the qualifications for the latter categories, eligibility for performers begins 25 years after their debut album was released. Every year, more and more acts are finding their way onto the shortlist of nominees, bumping out older acts who just haven’t gotten their due yet. I have compiled a list of 50 acts who aren’t quite eligible yet (some of them will be next year,) but are most likely going to be inducted, should be inducted (even if they likely won’t,) or are on track to eventually earn their place. They are listed in order of their eligibility and ranked on a scale of likelihood of induction from Definite, Good, Fair, Unlikely, and Too Early To Tell.
NINE INCH NAILS
ELIGIBLE: 2014 LIKELIHOOD: Definite There’s no doubt about this one. Nine Inch Nails are total pioneers, and while they might not get inducted next year, in due time they will be sitting in the Hall of Fame.
ELIGIBLE: 2014 LIKELIHOOD: Definite If there was one act on the list I would bet my life on ending up in the Hall, it’d be Nirvana. I’d be shocked if they weren’t nominated and subsequently inducted next year.
THE STONE ROSES
ELIGIBLE: 2014 LIKELIHOOD: Unlikely The Stone Roses are such a great band, and they’re considered legends in their native UK, but the fact that they’re not super well known in the US is probably going to prevent their induction.
ALICE IN CHAINS
ELIGIBLE: 2015 LIKELIHOOD: Good These grunge pioneers have more or less split critics over the years, but their contribution to rock and roll is pretty undeniable. More likely than not, they’ll end up in the Hall eventually.
ELIGIBLE: 2015 LIKELIHOOD: Definite Green Day are shoe-ins, possibly even on their first year of eligibility. They are one of the few punk acts that managed to mature over the years and actually stay relevant.
ELIGIBLE: 2016 LIKELIHOOD: Unlikely It pains me, but Blur will probably never see themselves in the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. Their lack of US success could unfairly hurt their odds, which is a major bummer.
ELIGIBLE: 2016 LIKELIHOOD: Good Alanis Morissette peaked a little too early, but she’s maintained a sense of importance about her. Jagged Little Pill alone is probably enough to earn her a seat in the Hall of Fame.
ELIGIBLE: 2016 LIKELIHOOD: Definite It’s barely even worth getting into. Pearl Jam are living legends with a diehard fan base, and, for better or worse, they’ve help shape rock and roll. They’ll be in quickly.
ELIGIBLE: 2016 LIKELIHOOD: Good The Smashing Pumpkins are a seminal 90s band, but one that actually stands the test of time. They have plenty of classics in their catalog and tons of acclaim. The odds are good for them.
ELIGIBLE: 2016 LIKELIHOOD: Definite Duh. Tupac is a hip hop god, and there should be no doubt in anyone’s mind that he will be speedily inducted into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. He’s just too important.
ELIGIBLE: 2017 LIKELIHOOD: Unlikely The way the Hall of Fame has ignored female artists like Kate Bush doesn’t make it look good for someone like Tori Amos, but she is a brilliant artist that deserves to be recognized.
ELIGIBLE: 2017 LIKELIHOOD: Good He doesn’t have a great deal of solo material, but looking at his entire career and a collaborator and producer, Dr. Dre will mostly like end up being inducted as an “all encompassing” performer.
ELIGIBLE: 2017 LIKELIHOOD: Unlikely PJ Harvey deserves more than most to be inducted into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame, and despite the critical backing, she doesn’t have any real hits to stand on. There’s always hope!
ELIGIBLE: 2017 LIKELIHOOD: Fair Thanks in part to their 90s material, No Doubt actually have a decent shot at entering the Hall. Their smart pop sensibility is rarely held against them, so I think it’s possible.
RAGE AGAINST THE MACHINE
ELIGIBLE: 2017 LIKELIHOOD: Good Tom Morello is such a guitar virtuoso that Rage Against The Machine is hard to ignore as a band. Their catalog is respectable enough that it should secure them a slot.
ELIGIBLE: 2017 LIKELIHOOD: Fair Now walk with me on this one. TLC was critically backed, and they have tons of hits under their belt. They were a crucial catalyst for hip hop and R&B’s intense popularity in the 90s.
ELIGIBLE: 2018 LIKELIHOOD: Good He may be crazy, but Beck is widely respected as a genius artist. I think he’ll see a few years pass before he makes the ballot, but he should inevitably be inducted.
ELIGIBLE: 2018 LIKELIHOOD: Definite Radiohead is an important band that everyone should like. They’re a shoe-in because they are not nearly as “alternative” as many of their fans would like to think.
ELIGIBLE: 2018 LIKELIHOOD: Fair The Roots are the epitome of what bridging hip hop and rock sounds like. They’re notable and respected, but they just don’t have that superstardom to make it a sure thing.
ELIGIBLE: 2018 LIKELIHOOD: Definite The way the dominos are falling down for hip hop in the Hall of Fame, it won’t be long before Wu Tang makes it in. I’m not sure when it’ll be, but they will definitely be inducted.
ELIGIBLE: 2019 LIKELIHOOD: Good I hate to play the “death” card, but Jeff Buckley became a huge posthumous superstar, despite only getting out one (awesome) album in his lifetime. He’s got a real shot.
THE FUGEES / LAURYN HILL
ELIGIBLE: 2019 / 2023 LIKELIHOOD: Fair / Fair I am still not sure how they’d go about this, because Lauryn Hill’s short solo career should still be noted, but it’d probably be the Fugees that will see the induction, if at all.
THE NOTORIOUS B.I.G.
ELIGIBLE: 2019 LIKELIHOOD: Definite Just like Pac, Biggie is a no-brainer for Hall of Fame-dom. He remains a major influence to hip hop, and it is unfathomable that they’d get away with ignoring that.
DAVE MATTHEWS BAND
ELIGIBLE: 2019 LIKELIHOOD: Definite The fanbase is just way too huge for the Dave Matthews Band not to be inducted in the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. It’s the same way the Grateful Dead couldn’t be ignored.
ELIGIBLE: 2019 LIKELIHOOD: Fair The only reason they’ve got a “Fair” and Blur has an “Unlikely” all boils down to one word: “Wonderwall.” Oasis had a legit US hit, making their odds just a little better.
ELIGIBLE: 2019 LIKELIHOOD: Good Outkast were one of the first hip hop acts to really go somewhere crazy. The dynamic duo has earned serious critical backing to match their commercial success, so I think they’ll get in.
ELIGIBLE: 2019 LIKELIHOOD: Good Weezer is certainly an interesting band, but they’re definitely an important one. Their output has generally been well-recieved, and somehow they’ve made themselves legends.
ELIGIBLE: 2020 LIKELIHOOD: Good It would be an injustice if Dave Grohl wasn’t a two-time inductee. The Foo Fighters have been one of the few rock bands to stick to their guns, and they will probably be recognized for that.
ELIGIBLE: 2021 LIKELIHOOD: Definite There is no doubt in my mind that Eminem will be inducted into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. He is just a way too important to hip hop. I have a feeling he’ll get in right away.
ELIGIBLE: 2021 LIKELIHOOD: Definite Jay-Z is another hip hop megastar that is a no brainer inductee. His career is monumental, and he already has so many accolades that this is really the only one he still has to wait for.
ELIGIBLE: 2022 LIKELIHOOD: Definite EDM is nothing without Daft Punk. Everything they do is important and monumental, and even if they split up right now, by the time 2022 rolls around, they will still worthy of induction into the Hall of Fame.
QUEENS OF THE STONE AGE
ELIGIBLE: 2023 LIKELIHOOD: Good Queens Of The Stone Age aren’t just a run of the mill band, and it seems like they’ve officially crossed over into “legendary” status. I think they’re a safe bet at making in.
THE WHITE STRIPES
ELIGIBLE: 2024 LIKELIHOOD: Definite The White Stripes are virtually Hall of Famers as it is. Hopefully by the time they’re inducted Jack and Meg would have already had some sort of (preferably permanent) reunion.
ELIGIBLE: 2025 LIKELIHOOD: Good I think that in a couple years time, Coldplay will be promoted to “Definite” status. On multiple occasions, they’ve been the biggest band in the world, and they’ve won every award ever.
ELIGIBLE: 2026 LIKELIHOOD: Fair I would like to think that Gorillaz would, at minimum, be considered for induction. They covered an immense range of music, and just because they were a cartoon band doesn’t mean they weren’t real musicians.
ELIGIBLE: 2026 LIKELIHOOD: Good In a few years, I firmly believe that the Strokes will be full-fledged living legends. By the time 2026 rolls around, I have a feeling that they’ll be ripe and ready for the Hall of Fame.
ELIGIBLE: 2027 LIKELIHOOD: Unlikely The Libertines should be no-brainer, but, once again, their lack of US success could hurt them. The Hall is supposed to be an international thing, but let’s be honest… if you didn’t make in the US, you have an uphill battle.
ELIGIBLE: 2027 LIKELIHOOD: Too Early To Tell It is way too early to tell whether or not JT has what it takes to be a Hall of Famer, but he’s certainly on the radar. A few more big, acclaimed albums, and I think he’s got a shot down the road.
ELIGIBLE: 2028 LIKELIHOOD: Fair Because of Beyoncé’s history with Destiny’s Child leading into an unparalleled solo career, I think she’s got a bit of an edge. She’s not just a vocalist, she’s a well-rounded artist. She has a shot.
ELIGIBLE: 2028 LIKELIHOOD: Good There was always going to be hope for Amy Winehouse’s induction, but her untimely passing may have sealed the deal. 2028 is quite some time away, but she will still be someone who is talked about.
YEAH YEAH YEAHS
ELIGIBLE: 2028 LIKELIHOOD: Fair If everything goes right, the Yeah Yeah Yeahs will continue to be one of the most important bands in music and finally be fully acknowledged for it. Realistically, they’ve already done enough to be inducted.
ELIGIBLE: 2029 LIKELIHOOD: Good Arcade Fire has the acclaim, the sales, and the awards. That’s pretty much all it takes to get in, right? Unless they start randomly making horrible music, they’re future Hall of Famers.
ELIGIBLE: 2029 LIKELIHOOD: Fair I think that Franz Ferdinand are actually plausible future inductees of the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame, even as we speak. Some more big “moments” would help their chances, though.
ELIGIBLE: 2029 LIKELIHOOD: Too Early To Tell While Hot Fuss was a game-changing album, their subsequent material has always been good, but not nearly as momentous. One more big venture could upgrade their likelihood.
ELIGIBLE: 2029 LIKELIHOOD: Definite Kanye West is the most current artist to have already ensured his place in the Hall. In fact, if he dropped off the face of the earth right now, he’d still be on the ballot in 2029.
ELIGIBLE: 2030 LIKELIHOOD: Fair They weren’t around for very long, but their impact was noticeable. LCD Soundsystem’s catalog is smart and catchy, and they’ve gotten a great deal of attention for it.
ELIGIBLE: 2031 LIKELIHOOD: Too Early To Tell They’re very much one of the “big ones” in the game today, but it’s still just a little too early to tell if the Arctic Monkeys have done enough to be Hall of Famers. Hopefully they can fully break the US.
ELIGIBLE: 2031 LIKELIHOOD: Good Now, Pharrell hasn’t exactly been a stellar solo artist, but he’s got the Midas touch. His overall contribution as a collaborator, writer, and producer should be enough for an induction.
ELIGIBLE: 2033 LIKELIHOOD: Too Early To Tell Adele has only released two albums so far. For all we know, she’s done! I’d like to think this amazing talent has some more amazing music left in store for us, but only time will tell!
ELIGIBLE: 2033 LIKELIHOOD: Too Early To Tell This is by no means a farfetched inclusion. Lady Gaga is still early on in her career, but depending on where she takes it, she could be a shoe-in by the time 2033 rolls around.